Skip to main content
Botafogo-SP

Botafogo-SP Promotion Chances

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B

0.5%
Winner
7.1%
↓ -0.3% since last round
Promotion
6.1%
Relegation

Botafogo-SP are an outside contender for promotion, with a 7.1% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 23Last updated: 4 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.5%
Promotion7.1%
Relegation6.1%

Botafogo-SP are currently 13th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (8W 6D 8L, 30 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 7.1%, Botafogo-SP are currently a outside contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Botafogo-SP's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Botafogo-SP's probability of promotion has climbed from 4.6% to 7.1%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Botafogo-SP achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team

Criciúma84.9%
Juventude73.8%
Vila Nova46.0%
Fortaleza36.4%
Operário-PR29.5%
Sport26.7%
Novorizontino23.5%
Athletic Club21.0%
CRB17.2%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →

View full Botafogo-SP stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.