Criciúma Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Criciúma remain in realistic contention for promotion at 43.1%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 7.9% |
| Promotion | 43.1% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Criciúma are currently 5th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 28 matches played (13W 8D 7L, 47 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 43.1%, Criciúma are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Criciúma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Criciúma's probability of promotion has dropped from 57.4% to 43.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Criciúma achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Juventude | 75.1% |
| Novorizontino | 74.8% |
| Vila Nova | 58.0% |
| Fortaleza | 53.1% |
| Atlético-GO | 33.4% |
| CRB | 27.5% |
| Operário-PR | 18.8% |
| Sport | 5.3% |
| Athletic Club | 3.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.