La Liga 2 26/27 — Round 5 of 42
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eibar#1Win: 22.8%Promo: 36.9%Playoff: 32.0%Releg: 1.4% | 22.8% |
| 2 |  Castellon#2Win: 14.3%Promo: 26.0%Playoff: 32.1%Releg: 2.8% | 14.3% |
| 3 |  Mallorca#3Win: 7.0%Promo: 14.4%Playoff: 26.6%Releg: 6.8% | 7.0% |
| 4 |  Sabadell#4Win: 6.7%Promo: 13.7%Playoff: 26.0%Releg: 7.0% | 6.7% |
| 5 |  Girona#5Win: 5.5%Promo: 11.7%Playoff: 24.4%Releg: 8.8% | 5.5% |
| 6 |  Almeria#6Win: 5.4%Promo: 11.5%Playoff: 24.0%Releg: 9.0% | 5.4% |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon#7Win: 5.1%Promo: 10.6%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 9.2% | 5.1% |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad B#8Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.0%Playoff: 21.4%Releg: 11.4% | 4.1% |
| 9 |  Burgos CF#9Win: 4.1%Promo: 8.9%Playoff: 21.0%Releg: 11.4% | 4.1% |
| 10 |  Granada#10Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 20.9%Releg: 11.5% | 3.8% |
| 11 |  CD Leganés#11Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.3%Playoff: 20.3%Releg: 12.0% | 3.8% |
| 12 |  Real Oviedo#12Win: 3.0%Promo: 6.7%Playoff: 18.1%Releg: 14.5% | 3.0% |
| 13 |  Las Palmas#13Win: 2.9%Promo: 6.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 14.8% | 2.9% |
| 14 |  Tenerife#14Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.2%Playoff: 17.1%Releg: 16.2% | 2.7% |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo B#15Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.1% | 2.1% |
| 16 |  Cordoba#16Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.0% | 2.1% |
| 17 |  CD Eldense#17Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.4%Releg: 22.8% | 1.5% |
| 18 |  Valladolid#18Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 12.1%Releg: 24.1% | 1.5% |
| 19 |  Cadiz CF#19Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 38.0% | 0.5% |
| 20 |  Albacete#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.1%Releg: 44.3% | 0.4% |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC#21Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 45.3% | 0.4% |
| 22 |  Andorra CF#22Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.1%Releg: 50.6% | 0.3% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar#1Win: 22.8%Promo: 36.9%Playoff: 32.0%Releg: 1.4% | 36.9% |
| 2 | Castellon#2Win: 14.3%Promo: 26.0%Playoff: 32.1%Releg: 2.8% | 26.0% |
| 3 | Mallorca#3Win: 7.0%Promo: 14.4%Playoff: 26.6%Releg: 6.8% | 14.4% |
| 4 | Sabadell#4Win: 6.7%Promo: 13.7%Playoff: 26.0%Releg: 7.0% | 13.7% |
| 5 | Girona#5Win: 5.5%Promo: 11.7%Playoff: 24.4%Releg: 8.8% | 11.7% |
| 6 | Almeria#6Win: 5.4%Promo: 11.5%Playoff: 24.0%Releg: 9.0% | 11.5% |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 5.1%Promo: 10.6%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 9.2% | 10.6% |
| 8 | Real Sociedad B#8Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.0%Playoff: 21.4%Releg: 11.4% | 9.0% |
| 9 | Burgos CF#9Win: 4.1%Promo: 8.9%Playoff: 21.0%Releg: 11.4% | 8.9% |
| 10 | Granada#10Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 20.9%Releg: 11.5% | 8.4% |
| 11 | CD Leganés#11Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.3%Playoff: 20.3%Releg: 12.0% | 8.3% |
| 12 | Real Oviedo#12Win: 3.0%Promo: 6.7%Playoff: 18.1%Releg: 14.5% | 6.7% |
| 13 | Las Palmas#13Win: 2.9%Promo: 6.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 14.8% | 6.4% |
| 14 | Tenerife#14Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.2%Playoff: 17.1%Releg: 16.2% | 6.2% |
| 15 | Celta Vigo B#15Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.1% | 4.9% |
| 16 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.0% | 4.8% |
| 17 | CD Eldense#17Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.4%Releg: 22.8% | 3.7% |
| 18 | Valladolid#18Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 12.1%Releg: 24.1% | 3.5% |
| 19 | Cadiz CF#19Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 38.0% | 1.5% |
| 20 | Albacete#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.1%Releg: 44.3% | 1.0% |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC#21Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 45.3% | 1.0% |
| 22 | Andorra CF#22Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.1%Releg: 50.6% | 0.8% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellon#2Win: 14.3%Promo: 26.0%Playoff: 32.1%Releg: 2.8% | 32.1% |
| 2 | Eibar#1Win: 22.8%Promo: 36.9%Playoff: 32.0%Releg: 1.4% | 32.0% |
| 3 | Mallorca#3Win: 7.0%Promo: 14.4%Playoff: 26.6%Releg: 6.8% | 26.6% |
| 4 | Sabadell#4Win: 6.7%Promo: 13.7%Playoff: 26.0%Releg: 7.0% | 26.0% |
| 5 | Girona#5Win: 5.5%Promo: 11.7%Playoff: 24.4%Releg: 8.8% | 24.4% |
| 6 | Almeria#6Win: 5.4%Promo: 11.5%Playoff: 24.0%Releg: 9.0% | 24.0% |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 5.1%Promo: 10.6%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 9.2% | 23.1% |
| 8 | Real Sociedad B#8Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.0%Playoff: 21.4%Releg: 11.4% | 21.4% |
| 9 | Burgos CF#9Win: 4.1%Promo: 8.9%Playoff: 21.0%Releg: 11.4% | 21.0% |
| 10 | Granada#10Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 20.9%Releg: 11.5% | 20.9% |
| 11 | CD Leganés#11Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.3%Playoff: 20.3%Releg: 12.0% | 20.3% |
| 12 | Real Oviedo#12Win: 3.0%Promo: 6.7%Playoff: 18.1%Releg: 14.5% | 18.1% |
| 13 | Las Palmas#13Win: 2.9%Promo: 6.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 14.8% | 17.8% |
| 14 | Tenerife#14Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.2%Playoff: 17.1%Releg: 16.2% | 17.1% |
| 15 | Celta Vigo B#15Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.1% | 14.8% |
| 16 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.0% | 14.8% |
| 17 | CD Eldense#17Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.4%Releg: 22.8% | 12.4% |
| 18 | Valladolid#18Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 12.1%Releg: 24.1% | 12.1% |
| 19 | Cadiz CF#19Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 38.0% | 6.7% |
| 20 | AD Ceuta FC#21Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 45.3% | 5.2% |
| 21 | Albacete#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.1%Releg: 44.3% | 5.1% |
| 22 | Andorra CF#22Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.1%Releg: 50.6% | 4.1% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andorra CF#22Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.1%Releg: 50.6% | 50.6% |
| 2 | AD Ceuta FC#21Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 45.3% | 45.3% |
| 3 | Albacete#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.1%Releg: 44.3% | 44.3% |
| 4 | Cadiz CF#19Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 38.0% | 38.0% |
| 5 | Valladolid#18Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 12.1%Releg: 24.1% | 24.1% |
| 6 | CD Eldense#17Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.4%Releg: 22.8% | 22.8% |
| 7 | Celta Vigo B#15Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.1% | 19.1% |
| 8 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.0% | 19.0% |
| 9 | Tenerife#14Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.2%Playoff: 17.1%Releg: 16.2% | 16.2% |
| 10 | Las Palmas#13Win: 2.9%Promo: 6.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 14.8% | 14.8% |
| 11 | Real Oviedo#12Win: 3.0%Promo: 6.7%Playoff: 18.1%Releg: 14.5% | 14.5% |
| 12 | CD Leganés#11Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.3%Playoff: 20.3%Releg: 12.0% | 12.0% |
| 13 | Granada#10Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 20.9%Releg: 11.5% | 11.5% |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B#8Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.0%Playoff: 21.4%Releg: 11.4% | 11.4% |
| 15 | Burgos CF#9Win: 4.1%Promo: 8.9%Playoff: 21.0%Releg: 11.4% | 11.4% |
| 16 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 5.1%Promo: 10.6%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 9.2% | 9.2% |
| 17 | Almeria#6Win: 5.4%Promo: 11.5%Playoff: 24.0%Releg: 9.0% | 9.0% |
| 18 | Girona#5Win: 5.5%Promo: 11.7%Playoff: 24.4%Releg: 8.8% | 8.8% |
| 19 | Sabadell#4Win: 6.7%Promo: 13.7%Playoff: 26.0%Releg: 7.0% | 7.0% |
| 20 | Mallorca#3Win: 7.0%Promo: 14.4%Playoff: 26.6%Releg: 6.8% | 6.8% |
| 21 | Castellon#2Win: 14.3%Promo: 26.0%Playoff: 32.1%Releg: 2.8% | 2.8% |
| 22 | Eibar#1Win: 22.8%Promo: 36.9%Playoff: 32.0%Releg: 1.4% | 1.4% |
Round 5 of 42
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eibar#1Win: 22.8%Promo: 36.9%Playoff: 32.0%Releg: 1.4% | 5 | 15 | 23% | 37% | 32% | 1% |
2 | Castellon#2Win: 14.3%Promo: 26.0%Playoff: 32.1%Releg: 2.8% | 5 | 13 | 14% | 26% | 32% | 3% |
3↑4 | Mallorca#3Win: 7.0%Promo: 14.4%Playoff: 26.6%Releg: 6.8% | 5 | 10 | 7% | 14% | 27% | 7% |
4↑6 | Sabadell#4Win: 6.7%Promo: 13.7%Playoff: 26.0%Releg: 7.0% | 5 | 10 | 7% | 14% | 26% | 7% |
5↑6 | Girona#5Win: 5.5%Promo: 11.7%Playoff: 24.4%Releg: 8.8% | 5 | 9 | 6% | 12% | 24% | 9% |
6↑6 | Almeria#6Win: 5.4%Promo: 11.5%Playoff: 24.0%Releg: 9.0% | 5 | 9 | 5% | 12% | 24% | 9% |
7↑7 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 5.1%Promo: 10.6%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 9.2% | 5 | 9 | 5% | 11% | 23% | 9% |
8↓5 | Real Sociedad B#8Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.0%Playoff: 21.4%Releg: 11.4% | 5 | 8 | 4% | 9% | 21% | 11% |
9↑6 | Burgos CF#9Win: 4.1%Promo: 8.9%Playoff: 21.0%Releg: 11.4% | 5 | 8 | 4% | 9% | 21% | 11% |
10↓5 | Granada#10Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 20.9%Releg: 11.5% | 5 | 8 | 4% | 8% | 21% | 12% |
11↓7 | CD Leganés#11Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.3%Playoff: 20.3%Releg: 12.0% | 5 | 8 | 4% | 8% | 20% | 12% |
12↓3 | Real Oviedo#12Win: 3.0%Promo: 6.7%Playoff: 18.1%Releg: 14.5% | 5 | 7 | 3% | 7% | 18% | 15% |
13↓5 | Las Palmas#13Win: 2.9%Promo: 6.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 14.8% | 5 | 7 | 3% | 6% | 18% | 15% |
14↓8 | Tenerife#14Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.2%Playoff: 17.1%Releg: 16.2% | 5 | 7 | 3% | 6% | 17% | 16% |
15↓2 | Celta Vigo B#15Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.1% | 5 | 6 | 2% | 5% | 15% | 19% |
16↑2 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 19.0% | 5 | 6 | 2% | 5% | 15% | 19% |
17↓1 | CD Eldense#17Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.4%Releg: 22.8% | 5 | 5 | 2% | 4% | 12% | 23% |
18↓1 | Real Valladolid#18Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 12.1%Releg: 24.1% | 5 | 5 | 2% | 4% | 12% | 24% |
19 | Cadiz CF#19Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.5%Playoff: 6.7%Releg: 38.0% | 5 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 7% | 38% |
20 | Albacete#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.1%Releg: 44.3% | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 44% |
21↑1 | AD Ceuta FC#21Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.0%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 45.3% | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 45% |
22↓1 | Andorra CF#22Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.1%Releg: 50.6% | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 51% |
WinPromoPlayoffReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
AD Ceuta FC#21Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.0%Playoff: 5.2%Relegation: 45.3%12:00 PMReal Sociedad B#8Winner: 4.1%Promotion: 9.0%Playoff: 21.4%Relegation: 11.4%
12:00 PMReal Sociedad B#8Winner: 4.1%Promotion: 9.0%Playoff: 21.4%Relegation: 11.4%1%
91%
Granada#10Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.4%Playoff: 20.9%Relegation: 11.5%2:15 PMAndorra CF#22Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 0.8%Playoff: 4.1%Relegation: 50.6%
2:15 PMAndorra CF#22Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 0.8%Playoff: 4.1%Relegation: 50.6%41%
30%
Celta Vigo B#15Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.9%Playoff: 14.8%Relegation: 19.1%4:30 PMSabadell#4Winner: 6.7%Promotion: 13.7%Playoff: 26.0%Relegation: 7.0%
4:30 PMSabadell#4Winner: 6.7%Promotion: 13.7%Playoff: 26.0%Relegation: 7.0%3%
88%
Valladolid#18Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.5%Playoff: 12.1%Relegation: 24.1%12:00 PMCordoba#16Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 14.8%Relegation: 19.0%
12:00 PMCordoba#16Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 14.8%Relegation: 19.0%10%
68%
Mallorca#3Winner: 7.0%Promotion: 14.4%Playoff: 26.6%Relegation: 6.8%2:15 PMAlmeria#6Winner: 5.4%Promotion: 11.5%Playoff: 24.0%Relegation: 9.0%
2:15 PMAlmeria#6Winner: 5.4%Promotion: 11.5%Playoff: 24.0%Relegation: 9.0%97%
0%
Eibar#1Winner: 22.8%Promotion: 36.9%Playoff: 32.0%Relegation: 1.4%4:30 PMLas Palmas#13Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 6.4%Playoff: 17.8%Relegation: 14.8%
4:30 PMLas Palmas#13Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 6.4%Playoff: 17.8%Relegation: 14.8%31%
39%
Burgos CF#9Winner: 4.1%Promotion: 8.9%Playoff: 21.0%Relegation: 11.4%4:30 PMCD Eldense#17Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.7%Playoff: 12.4%Relegation: 22.8%
4:30 PMCD Eldense#17Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.7%Playoff: 12.4%Relegation: 22.8%20%
52%
Real Oviedo#12Winner: 3.0%Promotion: 6.7%Playoff: 18.1%Relegation: 14.5%7:00 PMSporting Gijon#7Winner: 5.1%Promotion: 10.6%Playoff: 23.1%Relegation: 9.2%
7:00 PMSporting Gijon#7Winner: 5.1%Promotion: 10.6%Playoff: 23.1%Relegation: 9.2%89%
2%
After Round 5: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Andorra CF's Releg probability dropped from 74.7% to 50.6% (-24.1%).
- ↓Celta Vigo B's Releg probability dropped from 35% to 19.1% (-15.9%).
- ↓Albacete's Releg probability dropped from 58.7% to 44.3% (-14.4%).
- ↓CD Leganés's Playoff probability dropped from 33.1% to 20.3% (-12.8%).
- ↑Tenerife's Releg probability climbed from 4% to 16.2% (+12.2%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
La Liga 2 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
La Liga 2 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the La Liga 2 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Eibar currently have the highest title probability at 23%. With 37 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 2 26/27?
- Andorra CF currently faces the highest relegation risk at 51%, followed by AD Ceuta FC at 45%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate La Liga 2 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the La Liga 2 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
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