Juventude Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Juventude are the clear favourite for promotion with a 84.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 27.2% |
| Promotion | 84.9% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Juventude are currently 2nd in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 31 matches played (16W 8D 7L, 56 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 84.9%, Juventude are currently a strong contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Juventude's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Juventude's probability of promotion has climbed from 76.2% to 84.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Juventude achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 90.6% |
| Novorizontino | 64.1% |
| Criciúma | 50.4% |
| Fortaleza | 46.2% |
| Atlético-GO | 37.5% |
| Sport | 8.6% |
| CRB | 9.0% |
| Operário-PR | 6.6% |
| Cuiabá | 1.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.