Juventude Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Juventude are strong contenders for promotion, sitting at 59.5%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 15.4% |
| Promotion | 59.5% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Juventude are currently 2nd in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 23 matches played (11W 7D 5L, 40 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 59.5%, Juventude are currently a strong contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Juventude's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Juventude's probability of promotion has dropped from 65.1% to 59.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Juventude achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Criciúma | 86.1% |
| Vila Nova | 47.2% |
| Fortaleza | 37.8% |
| Operário-PR | 30.6% |
| Sport | 27.7% |
| Novorizontino | 24.6% |
| Athletic Club | 21.8% |
| CRB | 17.9% |
| Goiás | 11.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.