Juventude Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Juventude are the clear favourite for promotion with a 95.1% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 41.7% |
| Promotion | 95.1% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Juventude are currently 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 32 matches played (17W 8D 7L, 59 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 95.1%, Juventude are currently a strong contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Juventude's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Juventude's probability of promotion has climbed from 76.2% to 95.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Juventude achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 90.1% |
| Novorizontino | 62.3% |
| Criciúma | 48.3% |
| Fortaleza | 44.3% |
| Atlético-GO | 35.8% |
| Sport | 8.0% |
| CRB | 8.2% |
| Operário-PR | 5.9% |
| Cuiabá | 1.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.