Juventude Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Juventude are the clear favourite for promotion with a 83.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 33.3% |
| Promotion | 83.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Juventude are currently 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 27 matches played (14W 8D 5L, 50 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 83.4%, Juventude are currently a strong contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Juventude's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Juventude's probability of promotion has climbed from 79.6% to 83.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Juventude achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Novorizontino | 77.4% |
| Fortaleza | 58.5% |
| Criciúma | 57.4% |
| Vila Nova | 45.4% |
| Operário-PR | 22.3% |
| Atlético-GO | 20.5% |
| CRB | 16.8% |
| Cuiabá | 4.2% |
| Sport | 5.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.