Liverpool Final Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Liverpool face long odds for reaching the Final, with only a 2.8% probability.
Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 0.8% |
| Final | 2.8% |
| Semifinals | 8.7% |
| Quarterfinals | 25.8% |
| Round of 16 | 66.7% |
| Playoff Spot | 98.4% |
| Eliminated | 1.6% |
Liverpool are currently 14th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 9 pts).
Probability History
What This Means
At 2.8%, Liverpool are currently a long shot for reaching the Final. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Liverpool's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 27 rounds, Liverpool's probability of reaching the Final has dropped from 3.5% to 2.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures with a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference and recent form. The percentage shown is how often Liverpool achieves reaching the Final across all those simulated seasons, and it updates automatically.
Champions League 2026/27: Final odds for every team
| Bayern München | 31.0% |
| Inter | 27.1% |
| Barcelona | 28.3% |
| Real Madrid | 21.7% |
| Arsenal | 16.4% |
| Como | 11.3% |
| Manchester City | 10.9% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 11.5% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 7.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.