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Liverpool

Liverpool Quarterfinals Chances

Champions League 2026/27

0.2%
Champion
1.1%
Final
4.4%
Semifinals
15.1%
Quarterfinals
45.4%
Round of 16
78.9%
Playoff Spot
21.1%
Eliminated

Liverpool are an outside contender for reaching the Quarterfinals, with a 15.1% probability.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 18Last updated: 10 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Champion0.2%
Final1.1%
Semifinals4.4%
Quarterfinals15.1%
Round of 1645.4%
Playoff Spot78.9%
Eliminated21.1%

Liverpool are currently 20th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 15.1%, Liverpool are currently a outside contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Liverpool's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Liverpool's probability of reaching the Quarterfinals has climbed from 3.2% to 15.1%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Liverpool achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Quarterfinals odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →

View full Liverpool stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.