Skip to main content
Brasileirão 2026·2026-07-25·Round 20

Corinthians Ascend as Athletico-PR Triumphs, Internacional Stumbles

By Roberto Ottaviani · · Round-up

Corinthians Ascend as Athletico-PR Triumphs, Internacional Stumbles

In a week brimming with drama, Athletico-PR delivered a resounding victory over Internacional, sending shockwaves through the Brasileirão standings. The Curitiba side, with a dazzling 2-0 triumph, catapulted themselves to third place, intensifying their Libertadores ambitions with a robust 50.3% probability of taking part in South America's grandest stage. Meanwhile, Internacional's dreams are crumbling, as their relegation fears loom larger, now at a concerning 33.6%. The defeat leaves them languishing in 14th place, clutching at the meager hope of a 1.5% chance for Libertadores.

Elsewhere, Santos and Chapecoense clashed in a heart-stopping 2-2 draw, a result that does little to alleviate Santos' precarious position. Both teams remain tethered to the lower echelons of the table, with Santos just managing to stay clear of the relegation zone. Chapecoense, meanwhile, are entrenched at the bottom, staring down the barrel with a staggering 95.8% likelihood of relegation, a seemingly inevitable descent.

Vasco and Mirassol's encounter ended in a 1-1 deadlock, a result neither team can relish. Vasco's relegation prospects hover ominously at 41.2%, as they cling to 17th place, while Mirassol, just a point away from safety, teeter on the edge with a 38.2% chance of demotion. The fight to avoid the drop intensifies with each passing round.

Amidst this tumult, Corinthians emerge as the week's true protagonists. Climbing to 7th place, they have invigorated their Libertadores hopes, now at a thrilling 12.2%. Their fortunes have flipped, with relegation worries plummeting by a vertiginous 6.5% over two rounds. Will Corinthians maintain their momentum, or will the Brasileirão's relentless narrative forge new heroes and heartbreaks in the upcoming matches? Stay tuned as the saga continues.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

Check full probability analysis