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Brasileirão 2026·2026-09-06·Round 26

Flamengo Soars, Mirassol Finds Breathing Room

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Round-up

Flamengo Soars, Mirassol Finds Breathing Room

In a thrilling weekend of Brasileirão action, Flamengo's narrow 1-0 victory over Remo has boosted their championship probability significantly, now sitting at an impressive 55.3%. This win keeps Flamengo at the top of the standings, with a one-point lead over Palmeiras, who were held to a tense 0-0 draw against Botafogo. Palmeiras' championship hopes have dipped slightly, with their winning probability now at 38.3%, reflecting a challenging few rounds.

Mirassol's surprising 2-1 win over Coritiba has given them a much-needed lift, reducing their relegation risk by 16.5% to 35.8%. This result was crucial for Mirassol, as they fight to maintain their position outside the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Coritiba remains in the safe mid-table, but their Libertadores qualification chances have slightly decreased over the last rounds, now at 5.3%.

Cruzeiro's impressive 3-1 victory against Athletico-PR has bolstered their chance of qualifying for the Libertadores, now at 30.2%. Athletico-PR, on the other hand, saw a reduction in both their winning probability and Libertadores qualification likelihood, now standing at 2.8% and 59.9%, respectively. This shift highlights the fierce competition at the top of the table as teams vie for continental spots.

As we move into the next rounds, all eyes will be on Flamengo as they look to extend their lead, while teams like Mirassol continue their battle to secure safety from relegation. Cruzeiro's upward momentum will also be a key storyline, adding excitement to the race for Libertadores qualification.

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