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La Liga 25/26·2026-05-03

Real Madrid Surge to 0% Title Probability

By Roberto Ottaviani · · Round-up

Real Madrid Surge to 0% Title Probability

In a weekend where the footballing drama reached fever pitch, Celta Vigo soared to new heights, securing a dazzling 3-1 victory over Elche that catapulted their Conference League prospects into the stratosphere. The Galician side now boasts a 57.3% chance of European competition next season, a breathtaking leap of 25.7% from the previous round. This is the stuff of dreams for Celta, whose fans will be hoping their team's momentum carries them through to the season's end.

Meanwhile, Real Betis delivered a masterclass performance, crushing Real Oviedo 3-0 and further solidifying their grip on a Europa League spot with a commanding 95.5% likelihood. This victory was not only a triumph on the pitch but a crucial step towards European glory next season. However, their Conference League hopes took a dip, now standing at a mere 4.1%, as Betis focuses its sights on a more prestigious European journey.

The relegation battle also saw its share of twists and turns. Elche, battered by Celta, finds itself in the danger zone with an escalating 8.5% chance of dropping out of La Liga, while Espanyol's 0-2 defeat to Real Madrid has ominously nudged them further into the relegation race, their odds now at 5.2%. As Rayo Vallecano triumphed 2-0 over Getafe, their relegation worries evaporated, now a negligible 0.1%, a stark contrast to the heartache brewing at Espanyol.

With just four rounds remaining, the league's narrative is far from settled. As Celta eyes European competition and Betis dreams of Europa League nights, the specter of relegation looms ever larger for the likes of Elche and Espanyol. The final chapters of this season promise to be nothing short of a rollercoaster, with every match a potential game-changer. Keep your eyes peeled; the drama is just heating up!

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