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Copa Libertadores 2026·2026-08-18·Round 8

Round of 16 Showdowns: Who Will Advance?

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Knockout Preview

The knockout stage of this thrilling tournament is heating up as we approach the second leg of the Round of 16. Tuesday, August 18, 2026, promises a feast of football drama, with several tight contests poised to keep fans on the edge of their seats. Each match holds the promise of a place in the quarter-finals, with dreams of reaching the final tantalizingly close for those who can navigate these crucial fixtures.

First up, Independiente Rivadavia and Fluminense will battle it out after a goalless draw in the first leg. The aggregate is locked at 0-0, leaving everything to play for. Independiente Rivadavia holds a slight advantage with a 56.4% chance to progress, but Fluminense is not far behind at 37.9%. Both teams have their eyes set on a deeper run, with Independiente Rivadavia having a 30% chance of reaching the semifinals and Fluminense at 17.6%. A single goal could tilt the scales dramatically in this tense showdown.

Next, Universidad Católica hosts Estudiantes de La Plata after a 1-1 draw in their first meeting. With the aggregate score also at 1-1, Universidad Católica has the upper hand with a 64.7% chance of advancing, while Estudiantes sits at 39.4%. Universidad Católica fans will be hopeful for a continuation of their team's strong form, reflected in their 32.4% chance of making the semifinals. Estudiantes, however, will aim to defy the odds and move forward.

On Wednesday, August 19, Cerro Porteño welcomes Palmeiras after a 1-1 draw in Brazil. The aggregate is evenly matched, yet Palmeiras holds a 60.6% chance of progressing, likely buoyed by their recent performances in the league. Cerro Porteño, with a 35.3% chance to advance, will look to make the most of their home advantage in this crucial leg.

Simultaneously, Coquimbo Unido will face Club Atlético Platense with the scores level at 1-1. Coquimbo Unido appears slightly more favored with a 58.8% chance to advance, compared to Platense's 43.6%. Both teams are aiming to carve a path to the semifinals, where their chances drop to 28.3% and 20.3%, respectively.

Later that evening, Flamengo hosts Cruzeiro with the aggregate also balanced at 1-1. Flamengo is in a relatively strong position with a 64.7% chance of advancing, while Cruzeiro has a 41.2% chance. Flamengo's fans will hope that their team's 35% chance of reaching the semifinals is realized, while Cruzeiro will aim to upset the odds.

On Thursday, August 20, LDU will host Mirassol after another 1-1 draw in the first leg. LDU holds a 61.1% chance of advancing, a testament to their consistent performances, while Mirassol's chances stand at 35.6%. Both teams will be eager to push into the next stage, with LDU having a 29.9% chance of making the semifinals.

Corinthians and Rosario Central are also locked at 0-0 on aggregate, offering up a fascinating contest. Corinthians has a 62.1% chance of moving forward in the tournament, but Rosario Central, at 64.4%, is actually favored to advance, hinting at an intriguing clash where both teams have much at stake.

Finally, looking ahead to next Tuesday, August 25, Independiente del Valle will face Deportes Tolima, with another goalless first leg setting up a decisive second meeting. Independiente del Valle has a 38.9% chance of advancing, while Deportes Tolima sits close at 35.3%. This match is a classic case of anything being possible, with both sides keen to make an impression.

As these teams prepare to leave it all on the pitch, the stakes could not be higher. Each side dreams of lifting the trophy, but first, they must navigate the immediate challenge of their Round of 16 opponents.

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