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Copa Sul-Americana 2026·2026-09-07·Round 1

Quarterfinals Await: Who Will Step Up in the Second Leg?

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Knockout Preview

As the anticipation builds for the second legs of the Round of 16, teams are preparing to fight tooth and nail for a place in the quarterfinals. With several intriguing matchups on the horizon, the stakes couldn't be higher. Let's dive into the fixtures and see what each team is facing on their path to glory.

First up, we have Independiente Santa Fe taking on Vasco in what promises to be a captivating encounter. Vasco carries a 62.6% chance of advancing, which puts the onus on Santa Fe to mount a significant challenge if they want to overturn their 37.4% likelihood of progression. With Vasco's odds of reaching the final sitting at 56.7% and their chances of lifting the trophy at 20.7%, they enter this match as the favorites. Santa Fe, however, won't be a pushover, especially with a 25.2% chance of making it to the final themselves. The Colombian side will look to their home advantage to tip the scales in their favor.

In a clash between continental giants, Boca Juniors faces São Paulo. The numbers paint a daunting picture for Boca Juniors, who find themselves with just a 5.5% chance of advancing. São Paulo, on the other hand, is sitting pretty with a 94.5% likelihood of moving forward. These odds reflect São Paulo's strong position, having a 72.8% chance of reaching the final and a 26.0% probability of winning it all. Boca Juniors will need to conjure something truly special to defy the odds and keep their dreams alive.

Santos and Atlético Mineiro square off next, with Santos holding the upper hand with a 63.6% chance of progressing. The Sao Paulo club also boasts a solid 61.2% shot at the final, with a 21.0% chance to win the tournament outright. Atlético Mineiro, though, will be eager to prove their doubters wrong, clinging to a 36.4% chance of making it past this round. They have a smaller, yet still tangible, 25.4% chance of reaching the final and a 7.2% likelihood of winning the competition. This Brazilian showdown promises to be a nail-biter.

Finally, we have a dead-even matchup between Cienciano and Montevideo City Torque. Both teams stand with nearly equal chances of advancing, with Cienciano holding a slight edge at 50.1% against Torque's 49.9%. Their prospects of reaching the final are identical, both sitting at 29.2%. With such evenly matched odds, this tie is set to be a true test of nerves and skill, as both sides will leave everything on the pitch to tip the balance in their favor.

As the teams prepare to lock horns, each will be looking to write their own chapter in the storied history of the competition. Fans can expect a week filled with drama, passion, and, undoubtedly, some surprises along the way.

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