São Paulo
São Paulo Sulamericana Chances 2026: 84.8%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #10 · 34 MP
Updated at
São Paulo are 10th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 84.8% chance of sulamericana. With 4 rounds still to play, the final table is far from settled.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, São Paulo have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs hundreds of thousands of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures, taking in every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how São Paulo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-08-08
- Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-10-28
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%
- Sulamericana: 84.8%
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-11-04
Brasileirão 2026: Competition Races
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
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Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
12:30 AM
Fluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%
3:00 PMSão Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 |  | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 0 - 0 |  Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3% |
| 2026-10-28 | | Bahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4% | 3 - 2 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-10-24 | | Mirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-10-17 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 0 |  Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7% |
| 2026-10-10 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 2 - 1 |  Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4% |
| 2026-10-07 | | Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2% | 2 - 0 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-10-02 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 2 |  Santos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1% |
| 2026-09-19 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 0 |  Internacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5% |
| 2026-09-15 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 1 | Boca Juniors | |
| 2026-09-12 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-09-08 | Boca Juniors | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | |
| 2026-09-05 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 2 - 0 |  Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4% |
| 2026-08-29 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 2 - 1 |  Bragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-08-18 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 3 - 1 | Bolívar | |
| 2026-08-15 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 1 |  Coritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3% |
| 2026-08-11 | Bolívar | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | |
| 2026-08-08 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Flamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-07-22 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 2 | Athletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Remo#19Releg: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-05-23 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 1 |  Botafogo#11Sulamericana: 55.5%Releg: 2.1% |
| 2026-05-16 | | Fluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3% | 3 - 2 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-05-03 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 2 - 2 | Bahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4% |
| 2026-04-25 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2% |
| 2026-04-18 | | Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4% | 2 - 0 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-04-04 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 4 - 1 | Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2% |
| 2026-04-01 | | Internacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-03-21 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Bragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7% | 1 - 2 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-03-12 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Coritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3% | 0 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-02-11 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 2 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Santos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | | São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8% | 2 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0% |