São Paulo
São Paulo Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 60.9%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 26 of 38 · Rank #10 · 25 MP
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São Paulo are 10th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 25 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 60.9% chance of sulamericana — with 12 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, São Paulo have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how São Paulo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-08-08
- Libertadores: 2.2%
- Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%
- Sulamericana: 60.9%
- Releg: 3.6%
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
12:00 AM
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Boca Juniors | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | |
| 2026-09-05 |  | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 2 - 0 |  Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 17.8%Sulamericana: 63.4%Releg: 0.6% |
| 2026-08-29 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 2 - 1 |  Bragantino#9Libertadores: 5.0%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 65.1%Releg: 1.2% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Chapecoense#20Sulamericana: 0.2%Releg: 96.4% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-08-18 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 3 - 1 | Bolívar | |
| 2026-08-15 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 1 - 1 |  Coritiba#7Libertadores: 5.3%Pre-Libertadores: 15.0%Sulamericana: 66.7%Releg: 0.6% |
| 2026-08-11 | Bolívar | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | |
| 2026-08-08 | | Grêmio#16Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 25.2%Releg: 26.2% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Flamengo#1Win: 55.3%Libertadores: 98.9%Pre-Libertadores: 1.0% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-07-22 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 1 - 2 |  Athletico-PR#3Win: 2.8%Libertadores: 59.8%Pre-Libertadores: 27.7%Sulamericana: 12.4% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 2.1%Releg: 80.5% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-05-23 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 1 - 1 |  Botafogo#14Libertadores: 0.6%Pre-Libertadores: 3.3%Sulamericana: 47.1%Releg: 9.5% |
| 2026-05-16 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 55.2%Pre-Libertadores: 29.3%Sulamericana: 15.3% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Corinthians#13Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 2.4%Sulamericana: 45.8%Releg: 10.2% | 3 - 2 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-05-03 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 2 - 2 |  Bahia#5Win: 0.9%Libertadores: 35.4%Pre-Libertadores: 34.9%Sulamericana: 29.0% |
| 2026-04-25 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 1 - 0 |  Mirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 17.0%Releg: 36.2% |
| 2026-04-18 | | Vasco#17Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 10.0%Releg: 53.5% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Vitória#11Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 46.8%Releg: 9.2% | 2 - 0 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-04-04 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 4 - 1 |  Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.6%Libertadores: 30.1%Pre-Libertadores: 34.9%Sulamericana: 34.1% |
| 2026-04-01 | | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.1%Releg: 66.5% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-03-21 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 0 - 1 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 38.3%Libertadores: 97.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.0%Sulamericana: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 17.8%Sulamericana: 63.4%Releg: 0.6% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Bragantino#9Libertadores: 5.0%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 65.1%Releg: 1.2% | 1 - 2 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-03-12 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Sulamericana: 0.2%Releg: 96.4% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Coritiba#7Libertadores: 5.3%Pre-Libertadores: 15.0%Sulamericana: 66.7%Releg: 0.6% | 0 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-02-11 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 2 - 0 | Grêmio#16Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 25.2%Releg: 26.2% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Santos#12Libertadores: 1.1%Pre-Libertadores: 4.9%Sulamericana: 53.3%Releg: 6.0% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% |
| 2026-01-28 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 2.2%Pre-Libertadores: 7.8%Sulamericana: 60.9%Releg: 3.6% | 2 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 55.3%Libertadores: 98.9%Pre-Libertadores: 1.0% |