Premier League 25/26·2026-02-28

Title: Premier League Championship Odds: Liverpool Surges While Arsenal Stumbles

· Round-up

As the Premier League season intensifies, recent data reveals significant shifts in championship probabilities. Manchester City has solidified its Champions League position with a formidable 99.3% chance, up from 98.3%. Meanwhile, Liverpool has made notable strides in their quest for European football, increasing their Champions League odds by 10% to reach 38.6%. This momentum comes on the heels of their recent performances, highlighting their potential resurgence as the season progresses.

In contrast, Arsenal is experiencing a decline in their championship hopes, now sitting at a 65% probability to win the title, a decrease of 9%. This downturn could prove costly as they battle against the likes of Manchester City, whose title odds have also risen to 32.9%, an increase of 9.4%. West Ham is facing a relegation battle, with their probability of going down significantly rising to 64%, marking a 13.8% increase over two rounds. Conversely, Nottingham Forest's relegation odds have decreased to 21.8%, suggesting a slight improvement in their form.

Other clubs like Aston Villa and Chelsea are also feeling the heat, with their chances of joining the Champions League now at 73.9% and 26.5%, respectively, both seeing declines in their probabilities. As teams jockey for position, all eyes will be on the upcoming matches to see if Liverpool can maintain their upward trajectory and if Arsenal can bounce back. The next rounds promise to be crucial in determining who will secure their place among Europe’s elite.