Premier League 25/26·2026-03-14

Arsenal Tightens Grip on Title as Champions League Race Heats Up

· Round-up

Arsenal's commanding 2-0 victory over Everton has propelled them to the top of the Premier League standings, boosting their chances of winning the title to an impressive 94.4%. The Gunners now sit nine points ahead of Manchester City, who were held to a 1-1 draw by West Ham. This result dealt a blow to City’s hopes of closing the gap, with their title-winning probability dropping to just 5.6%. Arsenal’s relentless form this season positions them as clear favorites with only seven rounds remaining.

In the race for Champions League qualification, Aston Villa and Manchester United have surged ahead, with Villa’s chances climbing to 64.5% and United's reaching 68.3%. Liverpool also made gains, now with a 33.9% chance of securing a top-four finish, despite currently sitting in sixth place. Meanwhile, Chelsea's unexpected 1-0 loss to Newcastle hit their Champions League hopes hard, slashing their probability to 23.9%.

Everton's hopes of European football are fading, with their Europa League probability slipping to 3.6% after their defeat to Arsenal. They now trail rivals for European spots, as Liverpool's Europa League chances rose to 23.0%. At the bottom of the table, West Ham's draw against Manchester City wasn't enough to ease their relegation worries, with their chances of dropping to the Championship increasing to 39.2%.

As the season approaches its climax, Arsenal will look to maintain their momentum at the top, while the battle for Champions League spots promises plenty of drama. Keep an eye on the upcoming fixtures, as every point will be crucial in this tightly contested Premier League season.