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Novorizontino

Novorizontino Promotion Chances

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B

3.3%
Winner
24.1%
↓ -2.4% since last round
Promotion
1.1%
Relegation

Novorizontino remain in realistic contention for promotion at 24.1%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 22Last updated: 1 day ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner3.3%
Promotion24.1%
Relegation1.1%

Novorizontino are currently 7th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (9W 7D 6L, 34 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 24.1%, Novorizontino are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Novorizontino's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Novorizontino's probability of promotion has dropped from 28.6% to 24.1%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Novorizontino achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team

Criciúma85.5%
Juventude61.6%
Vila Nova46.7%
Fortaleza36.9%
Operário-PR30.1%
Sport27.3%
Athletic Club21.5%
CRB17.8%
Goiás13.7%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →

View full Novorizontino stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.