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Novorizontino

Novorizontino Promotion Chances

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B

3.0%
Winner
23.5%
↓ -0.6% since last round
Promotion
1.0%
Relegation

Novorizontino remain in realistic contention for promotion at 23.5%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 23Last updated: 1 hour ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner3.0%
Promotion23.5%
Relegation1.0%

Novorizontino are currently 7th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (9W 7D 6L, 34 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 23.5%, Novorizontino are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Novorizontino's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Novorizontino's probability of promotion has dropped from 27.9% to 23.5%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Novorizontino achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →

View full Novorizontino stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.