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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Champions League Chances

La Liga 26/27

1.6%
Winner
13.4%
↓ -0.2% since last round
Champions League
5.1%
Europa League
5.6%
Conference League
12.0%
Relegation

Rayo Vallecano are an outside contender for Champions League qualification, with a 13.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 7Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner1.6%
Champions League13.4%
Europa League5.1%
Conference League5.6%
Relegation12.0%

Rayo Vallecano are currently 9th in the La Liga 26/27 table with 6 matches played (2W 2D 2L, 8 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 13.4%, Rayo Vallecano are currently a outside contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Rayo Vallecano's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Rayo Vallecano's probability of Champions League qualification has dropped from 15.3% to 13.4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Rayo Vallecano achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 La Liga 26/27 — Champions League odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 26/27 table →

View full Rayo Vallecano stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.