São Bernardo Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
São Bernardo face long odds for promotion, with only a 1.3% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 1.3% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
São Bernardo are currently 11th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 31 matches played (12W 9D 10L, 45 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 1.3%, São Bernardo are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Bernardo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. São Bernardo's probability of promotion has held steady around 1.3% over the last round.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Bernardo achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 90.9% |
| Juventude | 85.5% |
| Novorizontino | 64.7% |
| Criciúma | 51.1% |
| Fortaleza | 46.7% |
| Atlético-GO | 37.9% |
| CRB | 9.1% |
| Operário-PR | 6.7% |
| Sport | 4.2% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.