São Bernardo Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
São Bernardo are an outside contender for promotion, with a 7.3% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.6% |
| Promotion | 7.3% |
| Relegation | 5.8% |
São Bernardo are currently 12th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (8W 6D 8L, 30 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 7.3%, São Bernardo are currently a outside contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Bernardo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, São Bernardo's probability of promotion has dropped from 12.5% to 7.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Bernardo achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Criciúma | 84.9% |
| Juventude | 73.8% |
| Vila Nova | 46.0% |
| Fortaleza | 36.4% |
| Operário-PR | 29.5% |
| Sport | 26.7% |
| Novorizontino | 23.5% |
| Athletic Club | 21.0% |
| CRB | 17.2% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.