São Bernardo Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
São Bernardo face long odds for promotion, with only a 0.2% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.2% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
São Bernardo are currently 12th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 32 matches played (12W 9D 11L, 45 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.2%, São Bernardo are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Bernardo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, São Bernardo's probability of promotion has dropped from 1.1% to 0.2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Bernardo achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Juventude | 95.1% |
| Vila Nova | 90.1% |
| Novorizontino | 62.2% |
| Criciúma | 48.5% |
| Fortaleza | 44.1% |
| Atlético-GO | 35.8% |
| Sport | 8.1% |
| CRB | 8.0% |
| Operário-PR | 6.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.