Serie A Title Race 2026
Serie A 2025/26
Every Serie A team ranked by their live title probability — our supercomputer runs up to millions of simulations updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Title Race — Live Probabilities
| # | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 100.0% |
| 2 | Napoli | 0.0% |
| 3 | Milan | 0.0% |
| 4 | Como | 0.0% |
| 5 | Juventus | 0.0% |
| 6 | Roma | 0.0% |
| 7 | Atalanta | 0.0% |
| 8 | Lazio | 0.0% |
| 9 | Bologna | 0.0% |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 0.0% |
| 11 | Udinese | 0.0% |
| 12 | Torino | 0.0% |
| 13 | Parma | 0.0% |
| 14 | Genoa | 0.0% |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 0.0% |
| 16 | Cagliari | 0.0% |
| 17 | Lecce | 0.0% |
| 18 | Cremonese | 0.0% |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 0.0% |
| 20 | Pisa | 0.0% |
Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 36
About This Race
The Serie A title race is simulated in real time, accounting for every remaining fixture and each team's current form.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out every remaining fixture and counts how often each team ends up in the title places. The percentages shown reflect those simulated outcomes, updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
View full Serie A 2025/26 table →
Full standings, match results, and all team probability charts.