Vasco Reaches Semifinals Chances
Copa Sul-Americana 2026
Vasco remain in realistic contention for reaching the Semifinals at 45.4%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 18.8% |
| Reaches Final | 47.5% |
| Reaches Semifinals | 45.4% |
Vasco are currently 4th in the Copa Sul-Americana 2026 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 45.4%, Vasco are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Vasco's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Vasco's probability of reaching the Semifinals has dropped from 62.6% to 45.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Vasco achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Copa Sul-Americana 2026 — Reaches Semifinals odds for every team
| Independiente Santa Fe | 54.6% |
| Santos | 77.7% |
| São Paulo | 81.9% |
| Cienciano | 100.0% |
| Atlético Mineiro | 22.3% |
| Boca Juniors | 18.1% |
| Montevideo City Torque | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Sul-Americana 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.