São Paulo
São Paulo Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 88.9%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 32 of 38 · Rank #9 · 32 MP
Updated at
São Paulo are 9th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 32 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 88.9% chance of sulamericana — with 6 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, São Paulo have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how São Paulo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-08-08
- Libertadores: 0.2%
- Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%
- Sulamericana: 88.9%
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-10-24
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
12:30 AM
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 |  | Mirassol#15Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 15.1% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-10-17 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 0 |  Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-10-10 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 2 - 1 |  Vitória#13Sulamericana: 34.5%Releg: 8.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | | Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 66.0%Pre-Libertadores: 27.8%Sulamericana: 6.3% | 2 - 0 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 2 |  Santos#8Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 9.0%Sulamericana: 88.8% |
| 2026-09-19 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 0 |  Internacional#16Sulamericana: 9.8%Releg: 35.1% |
| 2026-09-15 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 1 | Boca Juniors | |
| 2026-09-12 | | Palmeiras#1Win: 51.5%Libertadores: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-09-08 | Boca Juniors | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | |
| 2026-09-05 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 2 - 0 |  Atlético-MG#6Libertadores: 28.9%Pre-Libertadores: 43.9%Sulamericana: 27.2% |
| 2026-08-29 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 2 - 1 |  Bragantino#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 75.6%Releg: 0.5% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.9% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-08-18 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 3 - 1 | Bolívar | |
| 2026-08-15 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 1 |  Coritiba#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 60.3%Releg: 2.8% |
| 2026-08-11 | Bolívar | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | |
| 2026-08-08 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 2.1%Releg: 71.4% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Flamengo#2Win: 48.5%Libertadores: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-07-22 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 2 |  Athletico-PR#4Libertadores: 65.9%Pre-Libertadores: 29.2%Sulamericana: 4.9% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Remo#19Releg: 99.4% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-05-23 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 1 |  Botafogo#11Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 47.3%Releg: 3.5% |
| 2026-05-16 | | Fluminense#5Libertadores: 24.1%Pre-Libertadores: 48.3%Sulamericana: 27.6% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 3.0%Releg: 60.7% | 3 - 2 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-05-03 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 2 - 2 |  Bahia#7Libertadores: 13.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.6%Sulamericana: 48.5% |
| 2026-04-25 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#15Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 15.1% |
| 2026-04-18 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Vitória#13Sulamericana: 34.5%Releg: 8.0% | 2 - 0 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-04-04 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 4 - 1 | Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 66.0%Pre-Libertadores: 27.8%Sulamericana: 6.3% |
| 2026-04-01 | | Internacional#16Sulamericana: 9.8%Releg: 35.1% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-03-21 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#1Win: 51.5%Libertadores: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Atlético-MG#6Libertadores: 28.9%Pre-Libertadores: 43.9%Sulamericana: 27.2% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Bragantino#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 75.6%Releg: 0.5% | 1 - 2 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-03-12 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Coritiba#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 60.3%Releg: 2.8% | 0 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-02-11 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 2 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 2.1%Releg: 71.4% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Santos#8Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 9.0%Sulamericana: 88.8% | 1 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-01-28 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 2 - 1 | Flamengo#2Win: 48.5%Libertadores: 100.0% |