Vila Nova Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Vila Nova remain in realistic contention for promotion at 45.4%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 8.6% |
| Promotion | 45.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Vila Nova are currently 5th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 26 matches played (13W 5D 8L, 44 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 45.4%, Vila Nova are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Vila Nova's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Vila Nova's probability of promotion has dropped from 66.2% to 45.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Vila Nova achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Juventude | 83.4% |
| Novorizontino | 77.4% |
| Fortaleza | 58.5% |
| Criciúma | 57.4% |
| Operário-PR | 22.3% |
| Atlético-GO | 20.5% |
| CRB | 16.8% |
| Cuiabá | 4.2% |
| Sport | 5.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.