
Athletico-PR Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Athletico-PR are an outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification, with a 18.3% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 7.8% |
| Libertadores | 69.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 18.3% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 11.5% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Athletico-PR are currently 3rd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (12W 5D 6L, 41 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 18.3%, Athletico-PR are currently a outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Athletico-PR's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Athletico-PR's probability of Copa Libertadores qualification has dropped from 19.1% to 18.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Athletico-PR achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 2.2% |
| Flamengo | 4.9% |
| Fluminense | 26.9% |
| Cruzeiro | 26.1% |
| Bahia | 20.5% |
| Bragantino | 20.1% |
| Atlético-MG | 19.8% |
| Corinthians | 14.5% |
| Coritiba | 11.3% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.