Atlético-MG Winner Chances
Copa Sul-Americana 2026
Atlético-MG remain in realistic contention for winning the title at 37.4%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 37.4% |
| Reaches Final | 100.0% |
| Reaches Semifinals | 100.0% |
Atlético-MG are currently 2nd in the Copa Sul-Americana 2026 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 37.4%, Atlético-MG are currently a realistic contender for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Atlético-MG's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Atlético-MG's probability of winning the title has dropped from 42.6% to 37.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Atlético-MG achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Copa Sul-Americana 2026 — Winner odds for every team
| Boca Juniors | 62.6% |
| Cienciano | 0.0% |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 0.0% |
| Montevideo City Torque | 0.0% |
| Santos | 0.0% |
| São Paulo | 0.0% |
| Vasco | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Sul-Americana 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.