Bahia Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Bahia are an outside contender for Copa Libertadores, with a 14.1% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.3% |
| Libertadores | 14.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 20.5% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 51.3% |
| Relegation | 1.7% |
Bahia are currently 6th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (8W 10D 5L, 34 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 14.1%, Bahia are currently a outside contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bahia's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Bahia's probability of Copa Libertadores has dropped from 22.3% to 14.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bahia achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 97.4% |
| Flamengo | 93.7% |
| Athletico-PR | 69.8% |
| Fluminense | 41.8% |
| Cruzeiro | 27.1% |
| Bragantino | 14.3% |
| Atlético-MG | 14.4% |
| Corinthians | 7.5% |
| Coritiba | 5.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.