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Bahia

Bahia Libertadores Qualification Chances

Brasileirão 2026

0.3%
Winner
14.1%
Libertadores
20.5%
↑ +0.1% since last round
Libertadores Qualification
51.3%
Copa Sulamericana
1.7%
Relegation

Bahia remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores qualification at 20.5%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 23Last updated: 21 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.3%
Libertadores14.1%
Libertadores Qualification20.5%
Copa Sulamericana51.3%
Relegation1.7%

Bahia are currently 6th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (8W 10D 5L, 34 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 20.5%, Bahia are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bahia's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Bahia's probability of Copa Libertadores qualification has held steady around 20.5% over the last 2 rounds.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bahia achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team

Palmeiras2.2%
Flamengo4.9%
Athletico-PR18.3%
Fluminense26.9%
Cruzeiro26.1%
Bragantino20.1%
Atlético-MG19.8%
Corinthians14.5%
Coritiba11.3%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →

View full Bahia stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.