Botafogo Relegation Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Botafogo are an outside contender for relegation, with a 5.3% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.1% |
| Libertadores | 6.9% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 13.1% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 52.3% |
| Relegation | 5.3% |
Botafogo are currently 11th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (8W 6D 8L, 30 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 5.3%, Botafogo are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Botafogo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Botafogo's probability of relegation has climbed from 3.8% to 5.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Botafogo achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 0.1% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.4% |
| Bahia | 1.7% |
| Bragantino | 2.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 2.0% |
| Corinthians | 4.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.