Botafogo Title Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Botafogo face long odds for winning the Brasileirão title, with only a 0.1% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Title | 0.1% |
| Libertadores | 6.9% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 52.3% |
| Relegation | 5.3% |
Botafogo are currently 11th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (8W 6D 8L, 30 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.1%, Botafogo are currently a long shot for winning the Brasileirão title. As reigning champions, Botafogo enter the title race among the front-runners. The model simulates every remaining fixture to compute their probability of retaining the title. Botafogo's probability of winning the Brasileirão title has held steady around 0.1% over the last 2 rounds.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Botafogo achieves winning the Brasileirão title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — title odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 51.3% |
| Flamengo | 36.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 7.8% |
| Fluminense | 2.0% |
| Cruzeiro | 1.1% |
| Bahia | 0.3% |
| Bragantino | 0.4% |
| Atlético-MG | 0.3% |
| Corinthians | 0.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.