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Avaí Relegation Chances 2026 — 48.0%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 20 of 38 · Rank #18 · 20 MP

Avaí Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
48.0%
Relegation
#18
Position
LWDWL
Last 5 matches
Avaí are in realistic contention for Relegation at 48.0%, currently ranked 18th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Avaí are 18th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 20 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 48.0% chance of relegation — with 18 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Avaí have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Avaí's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-07-06
  • Promotion: 0.4%
  • Relegation: 48.0%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:

← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%10:30 PMCRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7%
30%
44%
Operário-PR#2Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 51.0%Relegation: 0.1%2:00 PMAvaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
33%
42%
Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%10:30 PMSport#10Winner: 1.3%Promotion: 12.4%Relegation: 4.3%
30%
44%
Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 96.9%7:00 PMAvaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
30%
37%
Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%3:00 PMAtlético-GO#7Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 21.8%Relegation: 1.7%
30%
44%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-28Juventude#3Winner: 12.5%Promotion: 51.7%Relegation: 0.2%1 - 0Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-07-21Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%2 - 1América-MG#19Relegation: 94.1%
2026-07-17São Bernardo#12Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 7.7%Relegation: 7.8%1 - 1Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-07-12Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%2 - 0Náutico#13Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 14.3%
2026-07-06Botafogo-SP#15Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 2.4%Relegation: 19.6%3 - 1Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-06-28Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 0Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-06-21Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%1 - 0Cuiabá#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.3%Relegation: 17.0%
2026-06-15Londrina#17Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 46.8%3 - 2Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-06-10Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1%2 - 1Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-05-30Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%1 - 2Criciúma#1Winner: 41.1%Promotion: 82.5%
2026-05-24Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%0 - 2Goiás#9Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.6%Relegation: 3.8%
2026-05-17Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3%2 - 0Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-05-10Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%0 - 0Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-05-03Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%3 - 3Novorizontino#6Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 36.5%Relegation: 0.5%
2026-04-26Atlético-GO#7Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 21.8%Relegation: 1.7%2 - 1Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-04-18Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%1 - 2Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 96.9%
2026-04-11Sport#10Winner: 1.3%Promotion: 12.4%Relegation: 4.3%2 - 2Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-04-05Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%0 - 0Operário-PR#2Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 51.0%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-04-01CRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7%0 - 1Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-03-22Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%2 - 0Juventude#3Winner: 12.5%Promotion: 51.7%Relegation: 0.2%