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Avaí Relegation Chances 2026 — 53.8%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 13 of 38 · Rank #18 · 13 MP

Avaí Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
0.1%
Winner
53.8%
Relegation
#18
Position
LLLLL
Last 5 matches
Avaí are strong contenders for Relegation at 53.8%, currently ranked 18th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Avaí are 18th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 13 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 53.8% chance of relegation — with 25 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Avaí have recorded 5 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their relegation probability, Avaí's winner chance currently stands at 0.1%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Avaí's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.1%
  • Promotion: 1.4%
  • Relegation: 53.8%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:

← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%2:00 PMCuiabá#10Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.4%
18%
60%
Athletic Club#11Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.3%7:00 PMAvaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
35%
31%
Botafogo-SP#16Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 34.4%10:00 PMAvaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
59%
19%
Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%7:00 PMNáutico#7Winner: 5.4%Promotion: 25.4%Relegation: 5.9%
18%
60%
São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0%10:00 PMAvaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
44%
23%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-15Londrina#17Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relegation: 46.2%3 - 2Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
2026-06-10Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%2 - 1Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
2026-05-30Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%1 - 2Criciúma#6Winner: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relegation: 4.8%
2026-05-24Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%0 - 2Goiás#12Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relegation: 11.3%
2026-05-17Vila Nova#2Winner: 18.9%Promotion: 54.0%Relegation: 1.0%2 - 0Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
2026-05-10Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%0 - 0Fortaleza#4Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relegation: 4.4%
2026-05-03Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%3 - 3Novorizontino#5Winner: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relegation: 4.8%
2026-04-26Atlético-GO#13Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relegation: 15.1%2 - 1Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
2026-04-18Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%1 - 2Ponte Preta#19Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relegation: 65.3%
2026-04-11Sport#3Winner: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relegation: 1.6%2 - 2Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
2026-04-05Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%0 - 0Operário-PR#8Winner: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relegation: 8.9%
2026-04-01CRB#15Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 7.5%Relegation: 23.0%0 - 1Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%
2026-03-22Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%2 - 0Juventude#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 8.4%