Ceará Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Ceará have no remaining chance of promotion according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 15.2% |
Ceará are currently 15th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 29 matches played (9W 8D 12L, 35 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
Ceará have no remaining mathematical chance of promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ceará's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Ceará's probability of promotion has held steady around 0% over the last round.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ceará achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 75.2% |
| Fortaleza | 70.7% |
| Juventude | 64.6% |
| Novorizontino | 64.9% |
| Criciúma | 43.2% |
| Atlético-GO | 21.5% |
| CRB | 17.1% |
| Operário-PR | 19.0% |
| Sport | 9.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.