Ceará Promotion Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Ceará are currently 16th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 23 matches played (6W 7D 10L, 25 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 0.3%, Ceará are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ceará's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Ceará's probability of promotion has dropped from 1.9% to 0.3%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ceará achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →