Ceará Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Ceará face long odds for promotion, with only a 0.8% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.8% |
| Relegation | 31.7% |
Ceará are currently 16th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (6W 7D 9L, 25 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.8%, Ceará are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ceará's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Ceará's probability of promotion has dropped from 1.9% to 0.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ceará achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Criciúma | 85.5% |
| Juventude | 61.6% |
| Vila Nova | 46.7% |
| Fortaleza | 36.9% |
| Operário-PR | 30.1% |
| Sport | 27.3% |
| Novorizontino | 24.1% |
| Athletic Club | 21.5% |
| CRB | 17.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.