Ceará Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Ceará face long odds for promotion, with only a 0.4% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.4% |
| Relegation | 45.2% |
Ceará are currently 17th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 23 matches played (6W 7D 10L, 25 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.4%, Ceará are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ceará's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Ceará's probability of promotion has dropped from 1.8% to 0.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ceará achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Criciúma | 84.5% |
| Juventude | 74.7% |
| Vila Nova | 61.2% |
| Fortaleza | 33.4% |
| Operário-PR | 21.7% |
| Sport | 18.8% |
| Novorizontino | 24.2% |
| Athletic Club | 21.5% |
| CRB | 17.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.