Ceará Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Ceará remain in realistic contention for relegation at 41.2%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.3% |
| Relegation | 41.2% |
Ceará are currently 16th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 23 matches played (6W 7D 10L, 25 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 41.2%, Ceará are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ceará's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Ceará's probability of relegation has climbed from 23.8% to 41.2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ceará achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.1% |
| Fortaleza | 0.3% |
| Operário-PR | 0.5% |
| Sport | 0.7% |
| Novorizontino | 1.0% |
| Athletic Club | 1.3% |
| CRB | 1.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.