Oxford United
Oxford United Relegation Chances 2026 — 100.0%
Championship 25/26 · Round 45 of 46 · Rank #22 · 45 MP
Live — Updated at
Oxford United are 22nd in the Championship 25/26 2026 season after 45 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of relegation — with 1 round still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Championship 25/26 matches, Oxford United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Championship 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Oxford United's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-08-23
- Promotion: 0.0%Since 2025-09-27
- Playoff: 0.0%Since 2025-11-29
- Relegation: 100.0%Since 2026-04-25
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 4 - 1 | |
| 2026-04-21 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | |
| 2026-04-18 | Derby County#8Playoff: 18.4% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2026-04-11 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | |
| 2026-04-06 | Portsmouth#18 | 2 - 2 | |
| 2026-04-03 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2026-03-21 | Southampton#5Promotion: 3.4%Playoff: 96.6% | 2 - 0 | |
| 2026-03-14 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2026-03-11 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2026-03-06 | Preston North End#12 | 1 - 3 | |
| 2026-02-28 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2026-02-25 | Stoke City#17 | 2 - 1 | |
| 2026-02-21 | Middlesbrough#4Promotion: 7.3%Playoff: 92.7% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2026-02-10 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 3 | |
| 2026-02-07 | Coventry City#1Winner: 100.0%Promotion: 100.0% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2026-02-03 | Sheffield United#15 | 3 - 1 | |
| 2026-01-31 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 2 | |
| 2026-01-24 | Leicester City#23Relegation: 99.9% | 1 - 2 | |
| 2026-01-20 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2026-01-17 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2026-01-01 | Ipswich Town#2Promotion: 72.7%Playoff: 27.3% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-29 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-26 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-20 | Charlton Athletic#20 | 1 - 0 | |
| 2025-12-13 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 2 | |
| 2025-12-09 | Blackburn Rovers#21 | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-06 | Swansea City#11 | 2 - 0 | |
| 2025-11-28 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-11-25 | Norwich City#9 | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-11-22 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-11-08 | West Bromwich Albion#19 | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-11-04 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 3 | |
| 2025-11-01 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2025-10-25 | Sheffield Wednesday#24Relegation: 99.9% | 1 - 2 | |
| 2025-10-22 | Wrexham#6Playoff: 52.0% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2025-10-18 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2025-10-04 | Watford#16 | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-10-01 | Queens Park Rangers#14 | 0 - 0 | |
| 2025-09-27 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | |
| 2025-09-21 | Bristol City#13 | 1 - 3 | |
| 2025-09-13 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2025-08-30 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2025-08-23 | Birmingham City#10 | 1 - 0 | |
| 2025-08-17 | Hull City#7Playoff: 29.6% | 3 - 2 | |
| 2025-08-09 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 1 |