Southampton
Southampton Playoff Chances 2026 — 99.9%
Championship 25/26 · Round 45 of 46 · Rank #5 · 45 MP
Live — Updated at
Southampton are 5th in the Championship 25/26 2026 season after 45 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of playoff — with 1 round still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Championship 25/26 matches, Southampton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Championship 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Southampton's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-12-13
- Promotion: 0.0%Since 2026-04-28
- Playoff: 99.9%
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2026-02-07
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2026-04-21 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 2 - 2 | |
| 2026-04-18 | Swansea City#11 | 1 - 2 | |
| 2026-04-14 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 3 - 0 | |
| 2026-04-11 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2026-04-07 | Wrexham#6Playoff: 51.7% | 1 - 5 | |
| 2026-03-21 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 2 - 0 | |
| 2026-03-18 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2026-03-14 | Coventry City#1Winner: 100.0%Promotion: 100.0% | 1 - 2 | |
| 2026-03-11 | West Bromwich Albion#19 | 1 - 1 | |
| 2026-02-28 | Sheffield Wednesday#24Relegation: 99.9% | 1 - 3 | |
| 2026-02-24 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 5 - 0 | |
| 2026-02-21 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2026-02-10 | Leicester City#23Relegation: 99.9% | 3 - 4 | |
| 2026-02-07 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2026-01-31 | Stoke City#17 | 0 - 2 | |
| 2026-01-25 | Portsmouth#18 | 1 - 1 | |
| 2026-01-21 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 0 | |
| 2026-01-17 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 2 | |
| 2026-01-04 | Middlesbrough#4Promotion: 7.6%Playoff: 92.4% | 4 - 0 | |
| 2026-01-01 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2025-12-29 | Birmingham City#10 | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-26 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-20 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-13 | Norwich City#9 | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-12-09 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 3 - 2 | |
| 2025-12-06 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 3 - 1 | |
| 2025-11-29 | Millwall#3Promotion: 22.1%Playoff: 77.9% | 3 - 2 | |
| 2025-11-25 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 3 - 0 | |
| 2025-11-22 | Charlton Athletic#20 | 1 - 5 | |
| 2025-11-08 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 3 - 1 | |
| 2025-11-05 | Queens Park Rangers#14 | 1 - 2 | |
| 2025-11-01 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 0 - 2 | |
| 2025-10-25 | Blackburn Rovers#21 | 2 - 1 | |
| 2025-10-21 | Bristol City#13 | 3 - 1 | |
| 2025-10-18 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2025-10-04 | Derby County#8Playoff: 18.5% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-09-30 | Sheffield United#15 | 1 - 2 | |
| 2025-09-27 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-09-20 | Hull City#7Playoff: 29.9% | 3 - 1 | |
| 2025-09-14 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 0 - 0 | |
| 2025-08-30 | Watford#16 | 2 - 2 | |
| 2025-08-23 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 1 - 2 | |
| 2025-08-17 | Ipswich Town#2Promotion: 70.4%Playoff: 29.6% | 1 - 1 | |
| 2025-08-09 | Southampton#5Playoff: 99.9% | 2 - 1 |