Cruzeiro Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Cruzeiro remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores at 27.1%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 1.1% |
| Libertadores | 27.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 26.1% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 41.1% |
| Relegation | 0.4% |
Cruzeiro are currently 5th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (10W 6D 7L, 36 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 27.1%, Cruzeiro are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cruzeiro's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Cruzeiro's probability of Copa Libertadores has climbed from 13.2% to 27.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cruzeiro achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 97.4% |
| Flamengo | 93.7% |
| Athletico-PR | 69.8% |
| Fluminense | 41.8% |
| Bahia | 14.1% |
| Bragantino | 14.3% |
| Atlético-MG | 14.4% |
| Corinthians | 7.5% |
| Coritiba | 5.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.