Cruzeiro Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Cruzeiro remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores qualification at 26.1%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 1.1% |
| Libertadores | 27.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 26.1% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 41.1% |
| Relegation | 0.4% |
Cruzeiro are currently 5th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (10W 6D 7L, 36 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 26.1%, Cruzeiro are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cruzeiro's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Cruzeiro's probability of Copa Libertadores qualification has climbed from 16.3% to 26.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cruzeiro achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 2.2% |
| Flamengo | 4.9% |
| Athletico-PR | 18.3% |
| Fluminense | 26.9% |
| Bahia | 20.5% |
| Bragantino | 20.1% |
| Atlético-MG | 19.8% |
| Corinthians | 14.5% |
| Coritiba | 11.3% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.