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Champions League 2026/27 — Round 18 of 13

Updated at

Expected champion

Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.

Bayern München logoBayern München25.8%→

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Sabah FK#32Champion: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 0.9%Quarterfinals: 3.2%Round of 16: 13.0%Playoff Spot: 32.2%Eliminated: 67.8%4:45 PMSlavia Praha#29Champion: 0.1%Final: 0.5%Semifinals: 1.8%Quarterfinals: 5.9%Round of 16: 20.2%Playoff Spot: 43.8%Eliminated: 56.2%
30%
41%
RC Lens#14Champion: 0.5%Final: 2.1%Semifinals: 7.5%Quarterfinals: 22.4%Round of 16: 56.6%Playoff Spot: 85.3%Eliminated: 14.7%4:45 PMSporting CP#17Champion: 0.3%Final: 1.4%Semifinals: 4.6%Quarterfinals: 13.3%Round of 16: 38.3%Playoff Spot: 68.4%Eliminated: 31.6%
22%
51%
Villarreal#36Semifinals: 0.3%Quarterfinals: 1.3%Round of 16: 7.7%Playoff Spot: 26.6%Eliminated: 73.4%7:00 PMNapoli#10Champion: 1.1%Final: 3.3%Semifinals: 9.0%Quarterfinals: 21.8%Round of 16: 48.7%Playoff Spot: 74.0%Eliminated: 26.0%
25%
52%
Galatasaray#28Champion: 0.1%Final: 0.6%Semifinals: 2.1%Quarterfinals: 6.6%Round of 16: 23.0%Playoff Spot: 48.5%Eliminated: 51.5%7:00 PMBarcelona#2Champion: 18.3%Final: 31.5%Semifinals: 50.6%Quarterfinals: 76.1%Round of 16: 95.5%Playoff Spot: 98.9%Eliminated: 1.1%
50%
25%
RB Leipzig#34Semifinals: 0.2%Quarterfinals: 0.9%Round of 16: 5.4%Playoff Spot: 18.9%Eliminated: 81.1%7:00 PMPSV Eindhoven#18Champion: 0.3%Final: 1.2%Semifinals: 4.4%Quarterfinals: 13.6%Round of 16: 40.0%Playoff Spot: 70.9%Eliminated: 29.1%
37%
37%
Inter#3Champion: 17.7%Final: 29.8%Semifinals: 46.9%Quarterfinals: 69.1%Round of 16: 91.6%Playoff Spot: 97.6%Eliminated: 2.4%7:00 PMClub Brugge#27Champion: 0.1%Final: 0.6%Semifinals: 2.2%Quarterfinals: 7.2%Round of 16: 23.7%Playoff Spot: 49.2%Eliminated: 50.8%
73%
10%
Arsenal#5Champion: 7.9%Final: 17.0%Semifinals: 33.0%Quarterfinals: 58.7%Round of 16: 87.9%Playoff Spot: 97.2%Eliminated: 2.8%7:00 PMLille#24Champion: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 1.3%Quarterfinals: 4.3%Round of 16: 15.3%Playoff Spot: 34.6%Eliminated: 65.4%
69%
11%
Viking FK#31Champion: 0.1%Final: 0.6%Semifinals: 2.1%Quarterfinals: 6.8%Round of 16: 23.7%Playoff Spot: 50.1%Eliminated: 49.9%7:00 PMBayern München#1Champion: 25.8%Final: 40.1%Semifinals: 58.9%Quarterfinals: 82.3%Round of 16: 98.5%Playoff Spot: 99.8%Eliminated: 0.2%
42%
30%
Atlético Madrid#35Semifinals: 0.3%Quarterfinals: 1.2%Round of 16: 6.9%Playoff Spot: 23.2%Eliminated: 76.8%7:00 PMMan United#6Champion: 3.6%Final: 9.5%Semifinals: 22.6%Quarterfinals: 47.7%Round of 16: 82.0%Playoff Spot: 95.6%Eliminated: 4.4%
36%
37%
LASK#23Champion: 0.2%Final: 0.8%Semifinals: 2.8%Quarterfinals: 8.9%Round of 16: 28.8%Playoff Spot: 57.0%Eliminated: 43.0%4:45 PMLiverpool#20Champion: 0.2%Final: 1.1%Semifinals: 4.4%Quarterfinals: 15.1%Round of 16: 45.4%Playoff Spot: 78.9%Eliminated: 21.1%
42%
30%

Results

Thu, Sep 10

PSV Eindhoven1 – 1Shakhtar
Fenerbahçe1 – 1Roma
Bayern München5 – 0Bodø/Glimt
Como4 – 1RB Leipzig
Man United4 – 0Sabah FK
Slavia Praha2 – 3RC Lens

Wed, Sep 9

VfB Stuttgart3 – 1Viking FK
Barcelona5 – 1Feyenoord
Liverpool2 – 1Atlético Madrid
Sporting CP3 – 1Galatasaray
PSG6 – 1Slovan Bratislava
Napoli0 – 1Arsenal

Tue, Sep 8

AEK Athens1 – 0LASK
Club Brugge2 – 3Aston Villa
Real Madrid2 – 1Inter
Lille2 – 3Betis
Dortmund3 – 2Villarreal
FC Porto0 – 2Man City

Champions League 2026/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Champions League 2026/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Bayern München currently have the highest title probability at 26%. With -5 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
How does CupChances calculate Champions League 2026/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Champions League 2026/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions