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Bayern München UCL Chances 2027 — 44.7%

Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 4 of 34 · Rank #2 · 4 MP

Bayern München Bundesliga 26/27 — Key Insights
14.0%
Win
0.7%
Releg
#2
Position
WDWW
Last 4 matches
Bayern München are in realistic contention for UCL at 44.7%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Bayern München are 2nd in the Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 4 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 44.7% chance of ucl — with 30 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 4 Bundesliga 26/27 matches, Bayern München have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, Bayern München's win chance currently stands at 14.0%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Bayern München's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 14.0%
  • UCL: 44.7%
  • UEL: 8.0%
  • ECL: 7.0%
  • Releg: 0.7%

More analysis

← View all Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

FC Augsburg#4Win: 6.1%UCL: 26.9%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%5:00 PMBayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%
78%
9%
Bayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%5:00 PMRB Leipzig#8Win: 4.3%UCL: 21.4%UEL: 6.3%ECL: 6.4%Releg: 3.0%
98%
0%
SC Freiburg#3Win: 13.9%UCL: 44.4%UEL: 7.8%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%5:00 PMBayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%
33%
45%
Bayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%5:00 PMDortmund#1Win: 21.2%UCL: 55.8%UEL: 7.7%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 0.3%
98%
0%
FSV Mainz#6Win: 5.9%UCL: 26.4%UEL: 7.0%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%5:00 PMBayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%
40%
38%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-18BundesligaBayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%7 - 0Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.8%UEL: 2.4%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 15.7%
2026-09-13BundesligaElversberg#9Win: 6.4%UCL: 27.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%1 - 2Bayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%
2026-09-10Bayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%5 - 0Bodø/Glimt
2026-09-05BundesligaSchalke 04#11Win: 3.5%UCL: 18.0%UEL: 5.5%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 4.5%0 - 0Bayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%
2026-08-28BundesligaBayern München#2Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.7%UEL: 8.0%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7%5 - 1VfB Stuttgart#14Win: 1.5%UCL: 10.2%UEL: 3.9%ECL: 4.3%Releg: 8.3%