Flamengo Copa Sulamericana Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Flamengo face long odds for Copa Sulamericana, with only a 1.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 36.4% |
| Libertadores | 93.7% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 4.9% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 1.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Flamengo are currently 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (13W 6D 3L, 45 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 1.4%, Flamengo are currently a long shot for Copa Sulamericana. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Flamengo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Flamengo's probability of Copa Sulamericana has dropped from 7.2% to 1.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Flamengo achieves Copa Sulamericana across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Copa Sulamericana odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 11.5% |
| Fluminense | 28.9% |
| Cruzeiro | 41.1% |
| Bahia | 51.3% |
| Bragantino | 50.5% |
| Atlético-MG | 50.5% |
| Corinthians | 54.1% |
| Coritiba | 52.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.