Vila Nova#3 · 34 pts's victory over São Bernardo#10 · 27 pts has significantly boosted their promotion chances, rising from 51.1% to 62.3%. This win also elevated them to the top of the standings, moving from third to first place with 31 points. Their probability of winning the championship increased from 16.3% to 23.2%, marking them as strong contenders for the title.
São Bernardo#10 · 27 pts, on the other hand, experienced a decline in their championship and promotion probabilities. Their chances of winning the title dropped from 7.5% to 4.4%, while their promotion probability decreased from 32.6% to 24.2%. This shift is reflected in their standings position, falling from fifth to seventh place.
Botafogo-SP#13 · 24 pts's 3-1 victory against Avaí has led to a reduction in their relegation risk, dropping from 31.1% to 21.0%. This win moved them up two spots in the standings, from 16th to 14th place. Their promotion chances saw a slight increase, from 3.0% to 4.8%, indicating a positive trend.
Avaí's situation worsened, with their relegation probability increasing from 51.7% to 60.6% following their defeat. This keeps them in 18th place with only 13 points, making their path to safety more challenging.
As the league progresses, Vila Nova#3 · 34 pts will aim to consolidate their lead, while Botafogo-SP#13 · 24 pts seeks to maintain their upward momentum. São Bernardo#10 · 27 pts and Avaí will need to strategize effectively to regain their footing in the coming rounds.