
Palmeiras Relegation Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Palmeiras have no remaining chance of relegation according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 51.3% |
| Libertadores | 97.4% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 2.2% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 0.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Palmeiras are currently 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 23 matches played (14W 6D 3L, 48 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
Palmeiras have no remaining mathematical chance of relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Palmeiras's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Palmeiras's probability of relegation has held steady around 0% over the last 2 rounds.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Palmeiras achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team
| Flamengo | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 0.1% |
| Cruzeiro | 0.4% |
| Bahia | 1.7% |
| Bragantino | 2.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 2.0% |
| Corinthians | 4.0% |
| Coritiba | 5.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.