Championship 26/27 — Round 8 of 46
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.9% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | |
| 4 | 8.8% | |
| 5 | 7.4% | |
| 6 | 6.7% | |
| 7 | 5.4% | |
| 8 | 5.2% | |
| 9 | 5.1% | |
| 10 | 3.7% | |
| 11 | 3.1% | |
| 12 | 3.1% | |
| 13 | 3.0% | |
| 14 | 2.2% | |
| 15 | 2.1% | |
| 16 | 2.1% | |
| 17 | 1.8% | |
| 18 | 1.8% | |
| 19 | 1.7% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.3% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.4% | |
| 2 | 18.1% | |
| 3 | 17.7% | |
| 4 | 16.7% | |
| 5 | 14.4% | |
| 6 | 13.4% | |
| 7 | 11.1% | |
| 8 | 10.7% | |
| 9 | 10.5% | |
| 10 | 7.9% | |
| 11 | 6.8% | |
| 12 | 6.7% | |
| 13 | 6.5% | |
| 14 | 4.9% | |
| 15 | 4.8% | |
| 16 | 4.6% | |
| 17 | 4.2% | |
| 18 | 4.1% | |
| 19 | 4.0% | |
| 20 | 3.0% | |
| 21 | 2.4% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.9% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.6% | |
| 2 | 27.2% | |
| 3 | 26.5% | |
| 4 | 26.3% | |
| 5 | 24.6% | |
| 6 | 24.2% | |
| 7 | 21.9% | |
| 8 | 21.7% | |
| 9 | 21.1% | |
| 10 | 18.4% | |
| 11 | 16.9% | |
| 12 | 16.8% | |
| 13 | 16.3% | |
| 14 | 13.8% | |
| 15 | 13.7% | |
| 16 | 12.7% | |
| 17 | 12.3% | |
| 18 | 12.3% | |
| 19 | 11.8% | |
| 20 | 10.0% | |
| 21 | 8.4% | |
| 22 | 5.1% | |
| 23 | 4.2% | |
| 24 | 4.2% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37.1% | |
| 2 | 36.5% | |
| 3 | 32.0% | |
| 4 | 21.5% | |
| 5 | 18.7% | |
| 6 | 15.1% | |
| 7 | 14.4% | |
| 8 | 14.1% | |
| 9 | 14.0% | |
| 10 | 12.7% | |
| 11 | 12.4% | |
| 12 | 9.7% | |
| 13 | 9.1% | |
| 14 | 9.0% | |
| 15 | 7.9% | |
| 16 | 5.7% | |
| 17 | 5.5% | |
| 18 | 5.4% | |
| 19 | 4.1% | |
| 20 | 4.1% | |
| 21 | 3.2% | |
| 22 | 3.1% | |
| 23 | 3.0% | |
| 24 | 1.6% |
Round 8 of 46
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑2 | 8 | 17 | 14% | 24% | 30% | 2% | |
2↓1 | 8 | 15 | 10% | 18% | 26% | 3% | |
3↑1 | 8 | 15 | 9% | 17% | 27% | 3% | |
4↓2 | 8 | 14 | 7% | 14% | 25% | 4% | |
5↑3 | 7 | 14 | 10% | 18% | 27% | 3% | |
6↓1 | 8 | 14 | 7% | 13% | 24% | 4% | |
7↓1 | 8 | 13 | 5% | 11% | 22% | 5% | |
8↑4 | 8 | 13 | 5% | 11% | 22% | 6% | |
9↑4 | 8 | 13 | 5% | 11% | 21% | 6% | |
10↓3 | 8 | 12 | 4% | 8% | 18% | 8% | |
11↓1 | 8 | 11 | 3% | 7% | 17% | 9% | |
12↓1 | 8 | 11 | 3% | 7% | 17% | 9% | |
13↓4 | 8 | 11 | 3% | 7% | 16% | 10% | |
14↑5 | 8 | 10 | 2% | 5% | 14% | 12% | |
15↑5 | 8 | 10 | 2% | 5% | 14% | 13% | |
16 | 8 | 9 | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% | |
17↓3 | 8 | 9 | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% | |
18↓3 | 8 | 9 | 2% | 4% | 12% | 15% | |
19↓1 | 7 | 8 | 2% | 5% | 13% | 14% | |
20↓3 | 8 | 8 | 1% | 3% | 10% | 19% | |
21 | 8 | 7 | 1% | 2% | 8% | 22% | |
22 | 8 | 5 | 1% | 1% | 5% | 32% | |
23 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 37% | |
24 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 37% |
WinPromoPlayoffReleg
Next matches
Wolverhampton#5Winner: 9.6%Promotion: 18.1%Playoff: 27.2%Relegation: 3.0%
1-0
West Brom#6Winner: 6.7%Promotion: 13.4%Playoff: 24.2%Relegation: 4.1%
Norwich City#17Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 4.1%Playoff: 12.3%Relegation: 14.4%
3-4
Bolton#15Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 13.7%Relegation: 12.7%
Blackburn#16Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 4.2%Playoff: 12.3%Relegation: 14.1%
11:00
Cardiff#21Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.4%Playoff: 8.4%Relegation: 21.5%
61%
15%
Swansea City#1Winner: 13.9%Promotion: 24.4%Playoff: 29.6%Relegation: 1.6%
08:30
Norwich City#17Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 4.1%Playoff: 12.3%Relegation: 14.4%
44%
29%
West Brom#6Winner: 6.7%Promotion: 13.4%Playoff: 24.2%Relegation: 4.1%
08:30
Birmingham#11Winner: 3.1%Promotion: 6.8%Playoff: 16.9%Relegation: 9.1%
28%
45%
Charlton#10Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 7.9%Playoff: 18.4%Relegation: 7.9%
08:30
Bristol City#9Winner: 5.1%Promotion: 10.5%Playoff: 21.1%Relegation: 5.7%
36%
34%
Bolton#15Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 13.7%Relegation: 12.7%
11:00
Stoke City#8Winner: 5.2%Promotion: 10.7%Playoff: 21.9%Relegation: 5.5%
8%
76%
Watford#20Winner: 1.3%Promotion: 3.0%Playoff: 10.0%Relegation: 18.7%
11:00
Burnley#24Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 0.9%Playoff: 4.2%Relegation: 37.1%
51%
23%
Derby County#22Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.3%Playoff: 5.1%Relegation: 32.0%
11:00
Wrexham#14Winner: 2.2%Promotion: 4.9%Playoff: 13.8%Relegation: 12.4%
5%
83%
After Round 8: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓West Ham's Promo probability dropped from 44.7% to 17.7% (-27%).
- ↓Southampton's Promo probability dropped from 36.6% to 14.4% (-22.2%).
- ↓Preston's Releg probability dropped from 58.2% to 36.5% (-21.7%).
- ↓Sheffield Utd's Releg probability dropped from 29.1% to 15.1% (-14%).
- ↓Millwall's Playoff probability dropped from 30.4% to 16.8% (-13.6%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Championship 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
Championship 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Championship 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Swansea City currently have the highest title probability at 14%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Championship 26/27?
- Burnley currently faces the highest relegation risk at 37%, followed by Preston at 37%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Championship 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Championship 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions