Championship 26/27 — Round 7 of 46
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | |
| 4 | 9.5% | |
| 5 | 9.1% | |
| 6 | 6.7% | |
| 7 | 5.7% | |
| 8 | 5.2% | |
| 9 | 4.8% | |
| 10 | 3.9% | |
| 11 | 3.5% | |
| 12 | 3.4% | |
| 13 | 2.8% | |
| 14 | 2.7% | |
| 15 | 2.5% | |
| 16 | 2.1% | |
| 17 | 1.9% | |
| 18 | 1.8% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0.4% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18.7% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | |
| 3 | 18.1% | |
| 4 | 17.8% | |
| 5 | 17.3% | |
| 6 | 13.1% | |
| 7 | 11.6% | |
| 8 | 10.7% | |
| 9 | 9.7% | |
| 10 | 8.1% | |
| 11 | 7.4% | |
| 12 | 7.3% | |
| 13 | 6.0% | |
| 14 | 5.8% | |
| 15 | 5.6% | |
| 16 | 4.8% | |
| 17 | 4.5% | |
| 18 | 4.1% | |
| 19 | 3.2% | |
| 20 | 3.2% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 1.0% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27.1% | |
| 2 | 27.1% | |
| 3 | 26.8% | |
| 4 | 26.7% | |
| 5 | 26.6% | |
| 6 | 23.5% | |
| 7 | 22.3% | |
| 8 | 21.2% | |
| 9 | 20.4% | |
| 10 | 18.1% | |
| 11 | 17.6% | |
| 12 | 17.3% | |
| 13 | 15.4% | |
| 14 | 15.2% | |
| 15 | 14.7% | |
| 16 | 13.4% | |
| 17 | 13.0% | |
| 18 | 12.4% | |
| 19 | 10.4% | |
| 20 | 10.3% | |
| 21 | 5.8% | |
| 22 | 5.7% | |
| 23 | 4.6% | |
| 24 | 4.3% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35.6% | |
| 2 | 34.8% | |
| 3 | 30.3% | |
| 4 | 29.4% | |
| 5 | 17.8% | |
| 6 | 17.2% | |
| 7 | 14.1% | |
| 8 | 13.5% | |
| 9 | 13.2% | |
| 10 | 11.0% | |
| 11 | 10.8% | |
| 12 | 10.6% | |
| 13 | 8.7% | |
| 14 | 8.5% | |
| 15 | 8.1% | |
| 16 | 6.5% | |
| 17 | 5.6% | |
| 18 | 5.2% | |
| 19 | 4.8% | |
| 20 | 2.9% | |
| 21 | 2.9% | |
| 22 | 2.8% | |
| 23 | 2.8% | |
| 24 | 2.8% |
Round 7 of 46
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑2 | 7 | 14 | 10% | 18% | 27% | 3% | |
2 | 7 | 14 | 10% | 18% | 27% | 3% | |
3↑1 | 7 | 14 | 10% | 18% | 27% | 3% | |
4↓3 | 7 | 14 | 9% | 17% | 27% | 3% | |
5↑2 | 6 | 13 | 10% | 19% | 27% | 3% | |
6↓1 | 7 | 12 | 6% | 12% | 22% | 5% | |
7↓1 | 7 | 12 | 5% | 11% | 21% | 6% | |
8↑4 | 6 | 11 | 7% | 13% | 24% | 5% | |
9↑6 | 7 | 10 | 4% | 7% | 18% | 9% | |
10↑6 | 7 | 10 | 3% | 7% | 17% | 9% | |
11↓3 | 6 | 10 | 5% | 10% | 20% | 7% | |
12↓2 | 7 | 9 | 3% | 6% | 15% | 11% | |
13↓4 | 6 | 9 | 4% | 8% | 18% | 8% | |
14↓3 | 7 | 9 | 3% | 6% | 15% | 11% | |
15↑3 | 7 | 8 | 2% | 5% | 13% | 14% | |
16↑3 | 6 | 8 | 3% | 6% | 15% | 11% | |
17↓4 | 7 | 8 | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% | |
18↓1 | 6 | 7 | 2% | 5% | 13% | 13% | |
19↓5 | 7 | 7 | 1% | 3% | 10% | 17% | |
20↑1 | 7 | 7 | 1% | 3% | 10% | 18% | |
21↓1 | 7 | 4 | 1% | 1% | 6% | 29% | |
22 | 7 | 4 | 1% | 1% | 6% | 30% | |
23↑1 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 35% | |
24↓1 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 36% |
WinPromoPlayoffReleg
Next matches
Sheffield Utd#14Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.6%Playoff: 14.7%Relegation: 11.0%
0-1
Wolverhampton#8Winner: 6.7%Promotion: 13.1%Playoff: 23.5%Relegation: 4.8%
Bristol City#11Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 9.7%Playoff: 20.4%Relegation: 6.5%
15:45
Lincoln#16Winner: 2.8%Promotion: 6.0%Playoff: 15.4%Relegation: 10.8%
34%
39%
Middlesbrough#5Winner: 10.1%Promotion: 18.7%Playoff: 27.1%Relegation: 2.8%
15:45
Millwall#13Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.1%Playoff: 18.1%Relegation: 8.1%
32%
43%
Bristol City#11Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 9.7%Playoff: 20.4%Relegation: 6.5%
16:00
Watford#17Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 4.1%Playoff: 12.4%Relegation: 14.1%
34%
39%
Cardiff#21Winner: 0.6%Promotion: 1.4%Playoff: 5.8%Relegation: 29.4%
08:30
Charlton#7Winner: 5.2%Promotion: 10.7%Playoff: 21.2%Relegation: 5.6%
35%
38%
Burnley#24Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.0%Playoff: 4.3%Relegation: 35.6%
11:00
Derby County#22Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.3%Playoff: 5.7%Relegation: 30.3%
15%
63%
Wrexham#19Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 3.2%Playoff: 10.3%Relegation: 17.2%
11:00
Southampton#2Winner: 9.7%Promotion: 18.1%Playoff: 26.6%Relegation: 2.9%
56%
20%
Millwall#13Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.1%Playoff: 18.1%Relegation: 8.1%
08:30
West Ham#1Winner: 9.9%Promotion: 18.2%Playoff: 27.1%Relegation: 2.8%
71%
11%
Lincoln#16Winner: 2.8%Promotion: 6.0%Playoff: 15.4%Relegation: 10.8%
11:00
Swansea City#3Winner: 9.5%Promotion: 17.8%Playoff: 26.8%Relegation: 2.8%
0%
99%
Portsmouth#18Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 13.4%Relegation: 13.2%
11:00
Blackburn#15Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 4.5%Playoff: 13.0%Relegation: 13.5%
38%
34%
After Round 7: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓West Ham's Promo probability dropped from 43.8% to 18.2% (-25.6%).
- ↓Southampton's Promo probability dropped from 42% to 18.1% (-23.9%).
- ↓Preston's Releg probability dropped from 57.3% to 34.8% (-22.5%).
- ↓Derby County's Releg probability dropped from 43.5% to 30.3% (-13.2%).
- ↓Millwall's Playoff probability dropped from 29.8% to 18.1% (-11.7%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Championship 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
Championship 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Championship 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, West Ham currently have the highest title probability at 10%. With 39 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Championship 26/27?
- Burnley currently faces the highest relegation risk at 36%, followed by Preston at 35%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Championship 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Championship 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions