Skip to main content
Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG Relegation Chances

Brasileirão 2026

0.3%
Winner
14.4%
Libertadores
19.8%
Libertadores Qualification
50.5%
Copa Sulamericana
2.0%
↓ -0.1% since last round
Relegation

Atlético-MG face long odds for relegation, with only a 2.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 23Last updated: 20 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.3%
Libertadores14.4%
Libertadores Qualification19.8%
Copa Sulamericana50.5%
Relegation2.0%

Atlético-MG are currently 8th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (9W 5D 8L, 32 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 2%, Atlético-MG are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Atlético-MG's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Atlético-MG's probability of relegation has dropped from 5.7% to 2%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Atlético-MG achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →

View full Atlético-MG stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.

Atlético-MG Relegation Chances (2% — Live)