Bahia Copa Sulamericana Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Bahia are an outside contender for Copa Sulamericana, with a 16.1% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.8% |
| Libertadores | 53.2% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 30.6% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 16.1% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Bahia are currently 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 27 matches played (12W 10D 5L, 46 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 16.1%, Bahia are currently a outside contender for Copa Sulamericana. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bahia's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Bahia's probability of Copa Sulamericana has dropped from 29% to 16.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bahia achieves Copa Sulamericana across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Copa Sulamericana odds for every team
| Flamengo | 0.0% |
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 12.9% |
| Fluminense | 21.8% |
| Cruzeiro | 44.8% |
| Atlético-MG | 56.3% |
| Coritiba | 69.9% |
| Bragantino | 68.0% |
| Santos | 65.3% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.