Botafogo Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Botafogo are an outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification, with a 13.1% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.1% |
| Libertadores | 6.9% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 13.1% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 52.3% |
| Relegation | 5.3% |
Botafogo are currently 11th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 22 matches played (8W 6D 8L, 30 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 13.1%, Botafogo are currently a outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Botafogo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Botafogo's probability of Copa Libertadores qualification has dropped from 17.2% to 13.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Botafogo achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 2.2% |
| Flamengo | 4.9% |
| Athletico-PR | 18.3% |
| Fluminense | 26.9% |
| Cruzeiro | 26.1% |
| Bahia | 20.5% |
| Bragantino | 20.1% |
| Atlético-MG | 19.8% |
| Corinthians | 14.5% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.